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Global stock markets rose sharply to welcome the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates.

Today, on Monday, Japan’s stock market changed from last week’s decline to a rise-the gloom of the decline of Japan’s stock market and the rise of the yen exchange rate was swept away by two major factors: "Spring Fight" and the expectation of the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates.

On March 18th, the Nikkei average closed up 2.67% to 39,740.44 points, approaching the previous high of 40,472.11 points. The Dongzheng Index closed up 1.92% to 2,721.99 points.

Among the constituent stocks, Toyota Motor, with the largest market value, rose by 2.26%, and Mitsubishi Corporation, with Buffett’s position, rose by 3.39%. In the chip sector, Tokyo Electronics, the leading company in chip manufacturing, rose by 3.76%, Edwin Test, the global leader in chip testing, rose by 3.88%, and Socionext, a chip design company, rose by as much as 8.14%. In addition, Uniqlo’s parent company Fast Retailing Group rose by 4.73%.

In addition to the Japanese stock market, Asian stock markets generally rose today. A shares reversed last Friday’s decline and relayed at low altitude. Among them, the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by 2.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the rising Composite Index rose by 1.46% and 0.99% respectively.

In Europe and America, as of press time, the three major European indexes all rose, with France CAC40 and Germany DAX approaching the previous high. The US Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.6%, while NVIDIA, Tesla, Google and other stocks rose more than 2% before the market.

Today and tomorrow (March 18 ~ 19) are the interest rate meeting of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) that attracts much attention. Previously, BOJ had repeatedly released news that it would raise interest rates by 0.1 percentage points at this meeting, thus ending the negative interest rate policy that lasted for eight years.

The interest rate hike is just around the corner, and the stock market is soaring. The relationship between the two seems to be counter-common sense.However, for Japan, which is shrouded by the "lost 30 years" and long-term negative interest rates, this interest rate hike seems to indicate that the economic recovery has finally seen hope, and this boost to the confidence of the economy and even the stock market is far greater than the interest rate increase of 0.1 percentage point.

In addition, the results of the just-concluded "Spring Fight" show that the average wage increase in Japan is 5.28%, which is the highest wage increase since 1991.This shows that enterprises are optimistic about the future prospects and end the wage policy of austerity that has been maintained for decades.

Paradigm transformation

The Nikkei News called this "Spring Fight" an important "paradigm shift".That is, Japanese employers who have always been cautious have finally stopped saving money on wages. This new trend emerged after three decades of low inflation and nominal wage growth.

"Spring Fight"The full name is "Spring Life Struggle" or "Spring Collective Negotiation", that is, the labor movement initiated by the Japanese working class in order to raise wages and improve working conditions every spring.

Previously, Japanese companies have been focusing on controlling labor costs in order to survive in global competition. But today, the situation has reversed. If Japanese companies don’t pay attractive wages, they will not be able to attract high-quality workers ….. and if they don’t attract outstanding talents, they will not be able to survive in international competition.

On March 7th, Rengo, Japan’s largest labor union, demanded an average wage increase of 5.85%, the biggest increase since 1993. It marks a major shift in Rengo’s approach. In previous decades, Rengo avoided making radical wage demands for fear of hurting employers. (Because if the employer goes bankrupt in order to provide employees with high wages, employees and trade unions will lose more than they gain.)

In the just-concluded "Spring Fight" negotiations, Toyota Motor Corporation, Japan’s largest auto company and Japan’s listed company with the highest market value, raised the employee’s bonus from 6.7 months’ salary in the previous year to 7.6 months’ salary, making it the highest annual bonus in history.

In addition, according to different positions, the monthly salary of Toyota employees will increase by a maximum of 28,440 yen (about 1,387 yuan). After Toyota’s salary increase strategy was determined, other car companies followed suit.

At present, Nippon Steel, which is bidding for American steel companies, is more aggressive in proposing a monthly salary increase of 35,000 yen (about 1,667 RMB), with an increase of 14%, far exceeding the 30,000 yen demanded by the trade union.

Last Friday, Rengo said that the preliminary statistics of the negotiation results showed that its member unions had won an average wage increase of 5.28%, which was the biggest increase since 1991, although it was not up to the target of 5.85%.

The sustained recovery of Japan’s economic environment and the upward trend of Japanese government bond yields have caused the Bank of Japan to face the urgent need to raise interest rates. The Bank of Japan, which has always been cautious, has repeatedly communicated with the market before, saying that it will raise interest rates at the interest rate meeting in March.

Before this rate hike, the Bank of Japan had not raised interest rates for 17 years. The Bank of Japan stressed that if we want to break this continuity, we will not necessarily tighten the control of the money supply, but only reduce the stimulus. Even after the possible interest rate hike, monetary policy will remain loose.

"Good or bad" interest rate hike

Why is the impact of this interest rate hike on the Japanese stock market and even the global market not only negative, but very positive? Even the global stock market rose sharply to welcome Japan’s interest rate hike?The author believes that the impact of interest rate hikes on the stock market is positive and negative. In this sense, raising interest rates can be divided into good interest rates and bad interest rates.

"Bad interest rate hike"It is a rate hike that has to be carried out in order to curb the further rapid rise of prices in the case of high prices and rampant inflation. Similar to the violent interest rate hike started by the Federal Reserve in 2022, it belongs to this kind of "bad interest rate hike". In this process of raising interest rates, if the economy can maintain growth, the economy will overheat; If economic growth slows down or even fails to grow, there will be economic stagflation.

The impact of this interest rate hike on the stock market is negative. In 2022, the US stock market experienced a sustained downward trend rarely seen in history, which was the result of this "bad interest rate hike".

but"Good interest rate hike"It is the interest rate increase in order to match the interest rate level with economic growth when the economic prospect is expected to be positive, or the result of stimulating the economy with low interest rates has been achieved. This interest rate hike is not to curb inflation, but to confirm the future economic growth prospects.

Japan’s interest rate hike this time belongs to this kind of "good interest rate hike".

Similar situations in history, such as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike in 2016. At that time, the oil price was more than 30 dollars (the lowest was 26 dollars), and there was no inflation; The global economy experienced the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2008, the European debt crisis that lasted for many years after 2010, and the persistent geopolitical conflict in 2014-15, and finally saw the dawn of economic recovery in 2016, so raising interest rates at that time was equivalent to confirming the improvement of economic prospects.

In 2017, there was a beautiful year of coordinated recovery and prosperity of the global economy. In 2017, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates four times, and none of the global stock markets fell. The Hang Seng Index rose by 35% in the whole year.

Recently, the Bank of Japan said that with the rise of interest rates, the previous bond purchases to maintain the structural balance of the yield curve will also be cancelled.In 2023, the Bank of Japan purchased nearly 11.4 billion yen of 10-year Japanese government bonds to keep its yield below 1%. Up to now, the Japanese government bonds held by the Bank of Japan have accounted for half of its national debt issuance.

However, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said that BOJ would continue to buy bonds if the yield of government bonds soared with the interest rate hike. . .

Coordinated recovery

Generally speaking, the just-concluded "Spring Fight" and the upcoming meeting of the Bank of Japan to discuss interest rates may be an important turning point of the Japanese economy in recent decades, which will mean that the "lost 30 years" of the Japanese economy is coming to an end.

This has a far-reaching positive impact on the global economy and capital market.

Looking around the world, the latest CPI and PPI data released by the United States in February, as well as the data of non-agricultural employment population, all have the characteristics of "exceeding expectations". Although they are in a downward trend on the whole, the rate of decline is slow. Although this will cause certain variables in the expectation of the Fed’s interest rate cut, we should also see its positive factor, that is, the resilience of the US economy. After all, if the economic recession, in order to stimulate the economic restart and have to implement interest rate cuts, that is the big killer.

In addition, the latest CPI data released by China turned positive year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, which is also a major positive factor for the global economy. After all, the pessimistic expectation of "negative inflation", which was generally worried from the media to the investment community, has been alleviated to some extent. If China’s economic recovery is maintained, China will also withdraw from the monetary easing policy in the next few quarters.

China, the United States and Japan are the top three economies in the world. If, at the current pace, Japanese negative interest rates end, China emerges from "negative inflation" and American economic data show resilience, the long-awaited coordinated global economic recovery is expected to come in the near future in 2024.

Based on this, what else can we be pessimistic about the stock market?

This is probably the reason why the US stock market wants to fall hard recently, the Japanese stock market rises sharply and welcomes interest rate hikes, and A shares and the Hang Seng Index relay at low altitude and continue to exert their strength.

This article comes from: Zhitong Finance APP

Reporting/feedback

Colleges and universities around the country are about to have a peak winter vacation, and there are school holidays for more than 2 months.

  Beijing, Dec. 21 (Reporter Zhang Ni) As New Year’s Day approaches, domestic colleges and universities have entered the final stage one after another, and the army of students will return home soon. Affected by the epidemic, this year’s major universities implemented a "peak-shifting" holiday, and many universities even started the winter vacation mode in December.

  What’s the difference between this winter vacation? Is the epidemic prevention and control deployed?

Data Map: On April 10th, Taiyuan Railway Station, Shanxi Province, students returning from colleges and universities received temperature tests at the exit. On the same day, the first batch of colleges and universities in Shanxi Province resumed classes in their graduation grades. China News Service reporter Wei Liang photo

  The implementation of peak-to-peak holidays in colleges and universities has a school holiday of more than 2 months.

  Recently, there have been newly confirmed cases in many provinces in China, and the Spring Festival on New Year’s Day is approaching. As one of the main forces of the inter-provincial floating population, the winter vacation arrangements for college students have attracted much attention.

  In view of the problem of epidemic prevention and control in schools, the Ministry of Education recently issued the Notice on Strengthening the Prevention and Control of Epidemic in Campus this winter and next spring to the Office of the Leading Group for Epidemic Prevention and Control in COVID-19. The "Notice" requires that all local schools should plan the winter vacation and spring school opening arrangements as early as possible, and coordinate the prevention and control of normalized epidemics and teaching and scientific research work. Colleges and universities adhere to the principle of "peak-shifting", arrange students to leave school in batches and orderly, and properly arrange winter vacation life, the teachers and students who stay in school.

  Judging from the actual situation, different from previous years, this year, the winter holidays in colleges and universities all over the country have opened a "time difference", and the length of holidays is also quite different.

  For example, the winter vacation of Tianjin Normal University will start before New Year’s Day. According to the arrangement of the school, students will have a winter vacation from December 21, 2020 to February 27, 2021, and the holiday will last for more than two months.

  According to the school calendar published by China University of Political Science and Law, the students of this school have a winter vacation from January 9, 2021, return to school on February 28, and formally attend classes on March 1, with a total holiday of 50 days.

  The winter vacation of China Renmin University lasts from January 18th to February 21st, 2021. The winter vacation of the University of International Business and Economics started later, starting from January 25, 2021 and ending on February 26, with February 28 as the student registration day.

  According to the announcement issued by Wuhan University, the school’s holiday time is from January 17th to February 23rd, 2021. Fudan University’s winter vacation starts on January 17th, 2021, and the undergraduate students register on February 28th, and the graduate students register on February 26th.

Data Map: Students study in the study room of the library. Photo by Liu Yuhua

  People with the same defense, closed management … … Epidemic prevention measures "No holiday"

  The winter vacation is just around the corner, and education departments and universities all over the country have begun to actively deploy the epidemic prevention and control work during the holiday.

  This month, the Education Department of Zhejiang Province held a conference on epidemic prevention and control in winter and winter vacation in the province’s education system to deploy epidemic prevention and control in winter and spring on campus.

  In terms of prevention and control of epidemic situation on campus, Zhejiang requires sticking to people’s common defense, fully guarding the campus gate, continuing to strictly implement the intelligent control measures of epidemic situation on campus, adjusting the control measures on campus in light of the actual situation, strengthening the management of campus gathering activities, paying close attention to the inspection and disinfection of all kinds of materials entering the campus, especially imported materials and cold chain materials, and establishing and improving the centralized supervision and unified disinfection and detection mechanism of cold chain food in school canteens.

  In addition, Zhejiang also requires that the work plan for the winter vacation and the next semester be prepared in advance, that students leave school in an orderly manner, that management services for students staying in school during the holidays be continued, that communication between home and school be strengthened, and that students’ holiday life be guided and arranged; Grasp the health status of teachers and students immediately, and provide the basis for the judgment of the new semester.

  In addition, the education departments of some provinces have recently "named" the situation that some schools’ epidemic prevention work is not in place.

  For example, recently, the Jiangxi Provincial Department of Education and the Provincial Health and Wellness Committee jointly held a video conference. At the meeting, it was reported that some schools in Nanchang High-tech Zone were short of epidemic prevention materials, and some schools in suichuan county did not regularly clean and disinfect public places such as canteens and toilets as required.

  The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to strictly control the "three passes" outside the school gate, at the school gate and inside the school gate, and further strengthen the prevention and control of epidemic situation before and after the Spring Festival holiday.

  In addition, major universities have recently held intensive work deployment meetings to knock the "alarm bell" in advance for the prevention and control of the winter vacation epidemic.

  A few days ago, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications held a deployment meeting on campus epidemic prevention and control during the winter vacation. The school emphasizes that it is necessary to compact responsibilities at all levels, do a good job in campus closed management, students leaving school, teaching management, logistics support, material reserve, duty on duty, information submission, etc., strictly examine and approve the discipline of leaving school and returning to school, and build a defense line for campus epidemic prevention and control.

  Capital Normal University previously issued a notice clearly stating that teachers and students "do not leave the country unless necessary". All secondary party organizations should strictly do a good job in the examination and approval of faculty leaving Beijing, and the student affairs department should strictly manage the record of leaving school. Adhere to the relatively closed campus management and the requirements of "returning to school conditions", strengthen the "Beijing Health Code" at the school gate and check the negative certificate of effective nucleic acid detection, and so on.

Data Map: Returning students receive love and epidemic prevention packages. Photo courtesy of Tongji University

  Pay attention to these when you go home in winter vacation!

  There have been sporadic epidemics in many places since the winter, but according to previous domestic disease control experts, although there is a large flow of people during the Spring Festival, as long as there are no infected people in the crowd, there will be no major epidemic with a wide spread.

  For returning home for holidays, disease control experts and local education, health and other departments also gave some travel tips:

  1. Don’t go to medium and high risk areas unless necessary.

  2. Plan the return route, simplify the itinerary, pay attention to the changes in medium and high-risk areas in China, avoid transferring to transportation in medium and high-risk areas on the way, and do personal protection.

  3. Return home from high-risk areas in China, pay attention to the relevant requirements such as nucleic acid detection certificate in the place of residence, and report the relevant situation to the community where the place of residence is located and the CDC in the jurisdiction after arriving at the destination.

  4. Personal protection should be done in the process of returning home, and masks should be worn during the whole journey when taking public transport.

  5. Pay attention to hand hygiene when traveling, and wash your hands frequently at stations, airports and other places.

  6. Pay attention to personal hygiene on public transport, and cover your nose and mouth when sneezing.

  7. During the Spring Festival, try to avoid going to the enclosed space with many people in the room, and reduce the gathering of relatives and friends and a large number of people.

  8. Strengthen self-health monitoring. If you have symptoms such as fever, cough, diarrhea and fatigue, you should wear disposable medical masks and above, and immediately go to the fever clinic of the nearest designated hospital. Try to avoid taking public transportation during the medical treatment. Please take the initiative to inform the doctor of the travel history and contact history in detail when you see a doctor, so as to facilitate timely investigation.

[Set sail for a new era] The surging engine of the new era of endeavor

  Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, March 13th: The surging engine of the new era of endeavor — — Comprehensively deepening reform from the perspective of the National People’s Congress and the National People’s Congress

  Xinhua News Agency reporters Qi Zhongxi, Hu Hao, Ling Junhui and Ren Huibin.

  Comprehensively promote the innovation of system and mechanism, improve the efficiency and effectiveness of resource allocation, and promote the concentration of resources to high-quality enterprises and products … …

  Accelerate the development of a higher-level open economy and accelerate the cultivation of a new trade format and new model … …

  On March 7, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader delivered an important speech when attending the deliberation of the Guangdong delegation, releasing a clear signal of continuing to promote reform and opening up from a new starting point.

  Reform is a key measure to determine the fate of contemporary China, and it is also the surging engine for China to "start again" in the new era. Standing on the historical node of the 40th anniversary of reform and opening up, the two sessions of the National People’s Congress in 2018 shoulder the historical responsibility.

  Implementing the spirit of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and under the guidance of Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought of the Supreme Leader in the New Era, comprehensively deepening the reform to the end will become the common aspiration of the deputies and arouse the vitality of China in the new era.

  The historical achievements and changes in the past five years show that reform and opening up is a key measure to determine the fate of contemporary China and to achieve the goal of "two hundred years"

  In early spring and February, Shenzhen Municipal Government issued new measures to intensify the reform of business environment, and launched 20 reform measures and 126 policy points, striving to create a world-class business environment.

  "Shenzhen has grown from a small fishing village to a modern metropolis, which fully proves the success of reform and opening up. Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, with the promotion of reform and innovation policies, the Internet field has developed more rapidly, with China enterprises accounting for four of the top ten Internet companies in the world. In the future, I hope to use scientific and technological innovation to promote the further development of reform and opening up. " Deputy Ma Huateng, Chairman of Tencent’s Board of Directors, said that Tencent is using information technology to serve digital government affairs and "internet plus" to deepen the reform of "streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services".

  Leading the trend, gathering the power of reform. Shenzhen, the frontier city of reform and opening up, has a profound imprint of reform.

  In December 2012, the Supreme Leader left Beijing for the first time after being elected as the general secretary and came to Shenzhen. He emphasized that reform and opening up is a key measure to determine the fate of contemporary China, and it is also a key measure to realize the goal of "two hundred years" and the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

  This is an important declaration of the CPC Central Committee’s adherence to reform and opening up and a mobilization order for comprehensively deepening reform.

  Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with the Supreme Leader as the core, we have made all-round reforms in economic system, political system, cultural system, social system, ecological civilization system and party building system, and made breakthroughs in a number of important areas and key links.

  The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China has made new arrangements for comprehensively deepening the reform, and the reforms in various fields have made more efforts and advanced in depth: deepening the reform of the party and state institutions, promoting the reform of the talent evaluation mechanism by classification, implementing the rural revitalization strategy, and strengthening the reform in the field of intellectual property trials … …

  Reform has stimulated market vitality — —

  Market entities are more active than ever, with the number of newly established enterprises increasing from more than 5,000 to more than 16,000, and the number of various market entities reaching more than 98 million, an increase of more than 70% in five years;

  Reform has brought innovation impetus — —

  High-speed rail network, e-commerce, mobile payment, sharing economy, etc. lead the world trend. "internet plus" is widely integrated into all walks of life, and mass entrepreneurship and innovation flourish;

  Reform has improved people’s livelihood security — —

  Weaving the world’s largest social security network, the number of poor people has decreased by more than 68 million, social endowment insurance covers more than 900 million people, and basic medical insurance covers 1.35 billion people … …

  The systematic country analysis report recently released by the World Bank holds that China’s "unprecedented" achievements in economic growth and poverty reduction have benefited from reform, and the realization of more inclusive and sustainable development will still depend on deepening reform.

  "This year’s government work report puts forward that it is necessary to vigorously implement the rural revitalization strategy and comprehensively deepen rural reform. I believe that there will be more policies to benefit farmers, making the countryside more dynamic and farmers’ lives more promising!" Deputy Zeng Yunying, secretary of the Party branch and director of the village committee of Qicuo Village, Xiuyu District, Putian City, Fujian Province, said.

  109 abandoned official seals in Tianjin Binhai New Area have been sealed in the National Museum, and the reform of "streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services" is in the ascendant. Deputy Yang Maorong, the head of Tianjin Binhai New Area, said that the "streamline administration, delegate power, strengthen regulation and improve services" reform, which promoted the integration of multiple certificates and the separation of certificates, and the whole process of electronic business license and enterprise registration, made the public feel the government’s determination and effectiveness in optimizing the business environment and liberating productivity.

  Standing at a new historical starting point and facing the transformation of major social contradictions, we need to carry out reform and opening up to the end without stopping.

  A higher starting point means greater challenges. He who does not advance loses ground.

  The 40-year reform has made the whole world witness the miracle of China, and it has also pushed the reform to a "deep water area" and a critical stage.

  Reform is only carried out when it is not completed.

  "China’s economy is in the key period of transforming the development mode, optimizing the economic structure and transforming the growth momentum. This is a pass that must be crossed. " General Secretary of the Supreme Leader profoundly pointed out when attending the deliberation of the Guangdong delegation.

  We should emancipate our minds, deepen our reform and expand our openness — — This is the new call and requirement of the new era.

  Solve the main social contradictions with reform — —

  The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China pointed out that the main contradiction in our society has been transformed into the contradiction between the people’s growing need for a better life and the unbalanced development. Aiming at the transformation of major social contradictions and solving development problems is a profound change that has a bearing on the overall development.

  "Jiangxi’s economy is underdeveloped, and the imbalance in education development is particularly prominent. There are regional imbalances and structural imbalances. At present, Jiangxi education is facing the dual pressures of popularization and high-quality development, and we must work hard on public policies. " Deputy Ye Rensun, director of Jiangxi Education Department, said.

  He told reporters that more than 80% of counties in Jiangxi passed the supervision and evaluation of the balanced development of national compulsory education last year, and the next step will be to consider raising the bottom of compulsory education to promote balance and gnawing at the hard bones that have not yet passed the acceptance.

  Promoting high-quality development through reform — —

  According to the government work report, China’s economy is in the key period of transforming the development mode, optimizing the economic structure and transforming the growth momentum. There are still many slopes to climb and hurdles to overcome, and it is necessary to deal with predictable and unpredictable risk challenges.

  "High-quality development brings about oriented changes, and the evaluation system for economic development also needs innovation. The proportion of traditional elements such as energy, resources, land and capital has declined, and the proportion of new elements such as technology and information has increased. " Yang Chengzhang, chief economist of Shen Yin Wanguo Securities Research Institute, said.

  Representative Lu Man, chairman of Tianhe Ecological Agriculture Cooperative in jianhu county, Jiangsu Province, said that 90% of the meat products they produce are sold through the Internet. If logistics costs and flow charges do not drop, farmers will lack enthusiasm.

  "To revitalize the countryside, we must rely on the reform dividend." Ruman said that reducing logistics costs and tariffs is not as simple as introducing a policy, but behind it is in-depth reform in related fields.

  Respond to the new needs of people’s livelihood with reform — —

  The General Secretary of the Supreme Leader has repeatedly stressed that what the people care about and expect, what the reform must grasp and promote, and bring more sense of gain to the people through reform.

  After years of research and thinking, Zhou Hongyu, a professor at Huazhong Normal University, began to call for "the establishment of an educational civil servant system" at the two sessions of the National People’s Congress in 2007.

  In January this year, the Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Comprehensively Deepening the Reform of Teachers’ Team Construction in the New Era was issued, which established the special legal status of public primary and secondary school teachers as national public officials.

  "The problems that teachers have reflected for a long time can only be substantially promoted by means of reform." Zhou Hongyu said, "I will put forward more specific suggestions this year to promote the early establishment of relevant supporting systems."

  If you are new, you will be new, and you will be new.

  "Our basic research is still relatively weak, such as some special materials and key parts ‘ Get stuck in the neck ’ The problem is still outstanding. " Zhu Rixiang, a member of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said, "The government work report emphasizes science and technology and attaches importance to innovation, which is inspiring. I hope that these innovative incentive policies will come into effect, and the old stereotypes that are not suitable for development needs will be completely abolished. "

  "There is no end to practical development, no end to emancipating the mind, and no end to reform and opening up." Member Cheng Yongbo, vice president of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, said that we should deepen the reform in an all-round way with greater courage and wisdom, continue to carry forward the spirit of "opening the way and bridging the bridge" and carry it through to the end.

  Consolidate the powerful force of comprehensively deepening reform and achieve new breakthroughs at a new starting point.

  2018 is the first year of fully implementing the spirit of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the 40th anniversary of reform and opening up.

  The best commemoration of reform and opening-up is to show the determination and courage to "start again after reform and opening-up", and to make a thorough study of this great article on raising the standard, enhancing the sense of gain and achieving new breakthroughs.

  "We must carry forward the spirit of reform and innovation, promote ideological emancipation and reform, deepen our work and grasp the reality, unite the powerful force of comprehensively deepening reform, and achieve new breakthroughs at a new starting point." At the second meeting of the Central Leading Group for Comprehensively Deepening Reform, the words of the Supreme Leader General Secretary hit the floor.

  "Everything that is easy to change has been changed. Now all the changes are hard bones. The reform must have the courage and determination of a strong man to break his wrist." Deputy Wang Shoucong, secretary of the Party Committee of the General Administration of Agricultural Reclamation of Heilongjiang Province, said that Heilongjiang agricultural reclamation has a large volume and population, which is the focus and difficulty of reform, but we must strengthen our confidence and promote the reform of "collectivization of agricultural reclamation and enterprise of farms".

  To achieve a new breakthrough at a new starting point, we must base ourselves on a higher level, a deeper level and a wider range of reforms — —

  The Third Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee, which concluded not long ago, deliberated and adopted the Decision of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Deepening the Reform of Party and State Institutions and the Plan for Deepening the Reform of Party and State Institutions, and agreed to submit part of the Plan for Deepening the Reform of Party and State Institutions to the First Session of the 13th National People’s Congress for deliberation in accordance with legal procedures.

  The draft supervision law submitted to the National People’s Congress for deliberation will further strengthen the party’s unified leadership over anti-corruption work and promote the in-depth development of the anti-corruption struggle.

  Gao Shangquan, an economist, said that the perfection of various systems and the degree of modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity are the key factors for basically realizing modernization and building a socialist modernization power in an all-round way.

  To achieve a new breakthrough at a new starting point, we must strengthen our responsibilities and do a good job of implementation — —

  The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China put forward new tasks for comprehensively deepening reform around the new requirements for the development of the cause of the party and the state, and deployed a large number of reform tasks with greater strength, higher requirements and more practical measures.

  Deepen the supply-side structural reform, promote the reform of state-owned assets and state-owned enterprises, deepen the reform of fiscal and taxation system, accelerate the reform of financial system, and promote the reform of social system … … In this year’s government work report, the word "reform" appeared 97 times.

  The government work report requires that the reform of "separation of licenses" be carried out throughout the country, with the focus on reducing licenses after the license is issued, and all kinds of licenses can be reduced and combined to further reduce the start-up time of enterprises. Deputy Hang Yingwei, the head of Pudong New Area in Shanghai, said that we should try our best to run out of the "free trade zone speed" in accordance with the highest international standards and the best level.

  To achieve a new breakthrough at a new starting point, we must be down-to-earth and hard-working with the attitude of "strugglers" — —

  After the state-owned Benxi Steel and private Shagang jointly reorganized Northeast Special Steel, they turned losses into profits in two months. Deputy Chen Jizhuang, chairman of Benxi Iron and Steel Group, believes that if the reform of mixed ownership can be vigorously promoted and the increment can be attracted by the stock, it is equivalent to pressing the "fast forward button" for the state-owned capital to become stronger and better.

  "The new era is the era of strugglers, and we should carry forward ‘ Work hard ’ Spirit, dry words, do real new achievements, and create a new world of reform and development in the new era. " Member Meng Fengchao, Chairman of China Railway Construction Co., Ltd. said. (Participating in writing: Wang Jian, Wang Linlin, Yang Shaogong, Zong Wei, Huo Yao)

The Bank of Japan suddenly raised interest rates.

On July 31, local time, the Bank of Japan suddenly announced a rate hike, adjusting the current policy interest rate of 0% to 0.1% to around 0.25%. This is also the first rate hike since the Bank of Japan lifted its negative interest rate policy in March this year.

At the same time, the Bank of Japan announced a detailed table reduction plan. The scale of government bond purchases will be reduced by 400 billion yen every quarter, and the monthly bond purchases from January to March 2026 will be about 3 trillion yen. Although the plan is generally in line with expectations, the reduction in bond purchases is lower than market expectations.

Under the "double impact" of raising interest rates and shrinking the table, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Japanese yen suffered a short-term earthquake, once breaking through the 152 mark. As of press time, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Japanese yen was reported at 152.1.

As of the close of July 31, the Nikkei 225 index closed up 1.49% at 39,101.82 points. The yield of Japanese five-year government bonds rose by 7.5 basis points to 0.660%, the highest level since November 2009.

Analysts believe that the Bank of Japan cut its bond purchases while raising interest rates, demonstrating its determination to normalize its policies. The Bank of Japan also hinted in its statement that it may continue to tighten monetary policy in the future. "The future monetary policy operation will depend on the future development of economic activities, prices and financial conditions. However, given that the real interest rate is at a significantly low level, if the prospects put forward in the outlook report in July can be realized, the central bank will continue to raise the policy interest rate accordingly and adjust the degree of monetary easing."

On July 31, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said that it is appropriate to adjust the easing policy from the perspective of achieving the sustainability and stability of 2% inflation. The real interest rate may still be significantly negative, and the relaxed financial environment will continue to support the economy. If the current economic and price prospects are realized, we will continue to raise interest rates and adjust the intensity of easing policies.

Since the negative interest rate policy was lifted in March this year, the Bank of Japan has been cautious in raising interest rates. What are the considerations for raising interest rates at this time?

Justin Hu, a professor of practice at Shanghai Institute of Advanced Finance, Shanghai Jiaotong University, told reporters that the certainty of Japan’s deflation is gradually stabilizing. Since April 2022, Japan’s CPI has been consistently higher than the central bank’s target of 2% year-on-year. At the same time, the recent weakness of the yen has also prompted the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to some extent.

In the summary of its latest outlook report, the Bank of Japan also showed optimism about the sustainability of inflation. The Bank of Japan lowered the median core CPI forecast for FY 2024 to 2.5%, and raised the median core CPI forecast for FY 2025 to 2.1%.

The Foreign Exchange Group of the Research Department of CICC believes that the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike may also be considered by the United States to cut interest rates. At present, the market has fully priced the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in September. Under this background, if the Bank of Japan postpones the interest rate hike to the meeting in September or October, it will highlight the hawkish behavior of the Bank of Japan and the convergence of US and Japanese monetary policies, which may further bring about the appreciation of the yen and the upward trend of Japanese bond interest rates.

PINKRAY Jr. breaks through himself? Three stinking poor craftsmen turned over the "Rat Courage Hero"

1905 movie network news The comedy film "Hero of Rat Gallbladder", which will be released nationwide on July 19th, today exposed a group of stills of Dapeng and Lei Jiayin, with slightly grandiose shapes and movements, which attracted the audience’s strong curiosity and concern about their roles in the film.


Dapeng surprises to interpret "just one shot" and praises Xiao PINKRAY ‘s acting skills to break through himself


The comedy film "Hero of Rat Gallbladder" was jointly directed by Shu Huan and Shao Dan, starring Yun-peng Yue and Tong Liya, and joined by Tian Yu, Justin, Han Tongsheng, Cai Ming, Dapeng, Lei Jiayin, Yu Qian and Yu Yang. The film tells the story of Yan Dahai (Yun-peng Yue), a punk of Qinglong gang, who unexpectedly becomes a hero in the process of pursuing his beloved goddess Du Qing (Tong Liya).


It is understood that Dapeng plays the role of "Gun God", a key member of the Axe Gang, in the movie "Hero of Rat Gallbladder". The stills show that the word "Just one shot" is written on the plaque behind Dapeng, giving people a sense of inexplicable joy. In addition, Dapeng’s action of wearing a gorgeous robe and holding a heavy pipe can also be called a breakthrough in Dapeng’s previous image on the big screen. In the previously released trailer of "My name is Yan Dahai", the "Gun God" played by Dapeng tried to buy Yan Dahai with 20,000 oceans and was burned by Yan Dahai with a lighter. Later, Yun-peng Yue’s sentence "Do you want to buy me off again" made people laugh.

When talking about starring in "Hero of Rat Gallbladder", Dapeng is also very emotional. According to reports, Dapeng’s directorial debut, that is, Shu Huan was the script producer. This time, Shu Huan filmed the directorial debut "The Hero of Rat Gallbladder". Dapeng once said to Director Shu Huan: "You must leave me a role." As for the cooperation between Yun-peng Yue and Dapeng, Dapeng said that they have been growing together, and this time, "Hero of Rat Gallbladder" made Dapeng feel the breakthrough and progress of PINKRAY  Jr., and thought that he had created a different comedy image: "I think he played a better role, because he broke through his own characters and made me believe that he was shaping a brand-new person."


The "Erguotou" combination of Lei Jiayin and Yun-peng Yue meets each other and is "poor" on the beach.


In the fifth season of the recent hit, Yun-peng Yue and Lei Jiayin, two stooges, won the title of "two idiots" in one fell swoop. The "grudges and enmities" between them made people laugh, and the "Erguotou combination" was born. The "mutual poverty" confrontation between the two in the movie "Hero with Rat Gallbladder" also attracted many expectations.


Judging from the Lei Jiayin stills exposed this time, Lei Jiayin wears hair gel and metal earrings, and a suit with different colors shows enough "Jianghu atmosphere", which reminds people of the classic "I Nima" style in Lei Jiayin. Judging from the trailer that has been exposed in "Hero of Rat Gallbladder", in the film, Lei Jiayin grabbed PINKRAY ‘s ear and shouted: "I asked you to collect the protection fee, and you recognized my ancestors. My Qinglong gang face was lost by you." Let Yun-peng Yue collect a protection fee. Why are you afraid? It seems that the film has the plot that Lei Jiayin and Yun-peng Yue’s "Erguotou" combination failed to collect protection fees, and the two also continued to be smelly and poor outside the play.


This year, the box office of Chinese films exceeded 50 billion, and the top 10 in the box office list were all domestic films.

Author: film and television weather vane

On November 13th, this year, the box office in China mainland exceeded 50 billion yuan. This is the first time that the box office in China has reached this integer mark in the past four years since 2020. It is estimated that the box office in the whole year is expected to reach 55 billion yuan to 56 billion yuan, reflecting the good recovery of the film market in China after the epidemic.

According to the preliminary statistics of the State Film Office, as of November 13th, the box office of China mainland movies exceeded 50 billion yuan this year, which is the first time that the box office of the whole country has reached this integer mark since it came out of the epidemic haze in the past four years from 2019.

Judging from the movies scheduled for more than one month this year, The Wind Vane predicts that the box office of Chinese movies is expected to reach 55 billion yuan to 56 billion yuan in 2023, or it will return to the level of 55.852 billion yuan in 2017.

Although there is still a gap from the highest annual box office record of 64.148 billion yuan in China film history set in 2019, it has shown a good recovery trend of China film market after the COVID-19 epidemic, which is commendable.

Judging from the box office performance of a single film, Up to now, Man Jiang Hong topped the annual box office list with a box office of 4.544 billion yuan. It is not only the highest-grossing film directed by Zhang Yimou, but also the 6th in the total box office list of China film history.

Wandering Earth 2 ranked second with a box office of 4.029 billion yuan. With its extraordinary imagination, excellent production and shocking visual effects, it continued the good reputation and box office trend of the first film, representing the highest level of science fiction movies in China. At the 36th Golden Rooster Awards Ceremony held in Xiamen on the evening of November 4th, the film won two awards, the special award of the jury and the best recording.

The realistic film "Put all your eggs in one basket" directed by the young director’s bid for the Olympic Games ranked third at the box office of 3.848 billion yuan, making it the biggest dark horse in China mainland film market this year. The slogan of the film "One more person watching the movie, one less person being deceived" is deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.

Disappeared She, Part One, In an Octagonal Cage, Three Wan Li in Chang ‘an, Bear with Me, Rock-solid and Unfamiliar Life are temporarily ranked 4th to 10th in the annual box office list.

This situation, except once in 2020 due to the epidemic, has seen one or three imported films enter the top 10 of the national annual box office list in other years. Not only that, so far this year, domestic films have accounted for more than 80% of the box office, and the proportion of summer files is as high as 87.58%!

This fully shows that today’s China audiences are more and more fond of watching excellent domestic films, and they are tired of the sequels and routines of Hollywood commercial blockbusters.

The polarization of the film market is also manifested in the increasing proportion of box office in major holidays such as Spring Festival, summer vacation and National Day.

This year’s Spring Festival box office is 6.765 billion yuan, summer box office is as high as 20.62 billion yuan, and National Day box office is 2.735 billion yuan. The box office of these three major periods alone totals 30.12 billion yuan, accounting for more than 60% of the total box office of 50 billion yuan.

If China’s film market wants to change the current situation that it relies too much on the schedule of major holidays, it must, as Mao Yu, executive deputy director of the Film Bureau, put it, "continue to work hard under the creation and construction of weekend schedules".

Looking forward to the rest of this year for more than a month, there will be excellent works to bring more surprises to the audience and the market!

What about Bugatti Veyron in America?

Although Bugatti Veyron is expensive, it represents the pinnacle of the automobile industry:

From design to manufacture, every detail has been carefully carved to ensure the excellent quality of the vehicle. Whether on the road or on the track, Bugatti Veyron can show incredible speed and stability.

In the China market, the basic model of Bugatti Veyron costs 25 million yuan, while the high-performance version costs more than 35 million yuan. The price of the special edition varies with different accessories, but at least it will not be less than 20 million yuan. In the European market, the official price of Bugatti Veyron is 1.4 million euros, equivalent to about 2 million dollars.

The first Bugatti Veyron convertible cost as much as $2.9 million. If denominated in RMB, the official price of the Bugatti Veyron convertible version is 14 million yuan. However, the actual transaction price of the first convertible Veyron reached 20 million yuan. Although the actual transaction price of the convertible version of Bugatti is nearly 6 million yuan higher than the official price, it does not mean that the convertible version of Veyron can be easily purchased in China for only 20 million yuan.

Bugatti Veyron is not only expensive, but also has amazing performance. It is equipped with a powerful W16 engine, which can generate more than 1000 horsepower. This enables Bugatti Veyron to accelerate from 0 to 100 km/h in just a few seconds. In addition, Bugatti Veyron has excellent driving experience and luxurious interior design, making it a real super sports car.

"My Girlfriend is a Robot" was released on 9.11, and Bao Beier fell in love.


1905 movie network news The sci-fi comedy film starring Bao Beier and Xin Zhilei and starring Wei Xiang was released nationwide on September 11th. The film mainly tells the story that the robot (Xin Zhilei) was ordered to save the endangered human Fang Yuan (Bao Beier), so the robot girl and the human started to live together, but the magical brain circuit and super power led to the goal. I think that the first day of the protective robot can love and love, and always accompany Fang Yuan. In the daily life of "love each other and kill each other", we integrate into each other’s lives and learn to love and be loved in constant running-in, thus staged a fantasy love that spans time and space and species.

The first easy decompression film in 2020

Since the movie My Girlfriend is a Robot was screened in advance on September 5th, the audience has been receiving constant praise. In the film, the robot and human beings get along with each other beyond reality, which has created many funny scenes for this film. For example, the robot lifted the bus with one hand in order to pick up coins for Fang Yuan in the first day of junior high school, and Fang Yuan woke up the sleeping junior high school and issued the password of "giao giao for me" … While laughing, the film also expressed the warm-hearted theme of recalling family and cherishing people around him. The climax of the film is based on the earthquake disaster, which shows the beautiful love between Fang Yuan and the first day of junior high school to the fullest, which can be described as Qi Fei’s laughter and tears.

Bao Beier’s acting online boldly challenges diverse roles.

On September 9th, Bao Beier appeared in a black suit at the premiere of My Girlfriend is a Robot. After the screening, she generously shared her filming experience with the audience. When asked if he is consistent with Fang Yuan’s personality in real life, Bao Beier said frankly: "The fun of actors lies in playing different roles. Just because I am such a man in my play doesn’t mean that I am also in my life. " Earlier, the image of the vicious rich second generation Zhao Gongzi in "Big Man" was deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. This time, Bao Beier played a timid boyfriend, leaving a contrast impression on the audience. In My Girlfriend is a Robot, Bao Beier interprets the image of a funny, man show and emotional contemporary boyfriend properly, and holds his emotions accurately, pulling the hearts of the audience regardless of laughter and sadness.

The healing film "My Girlfriend is a Robot" in 2020 has been released. On September 11th, I came to the cinema to feel the long-lost laughter and emotion and regain my love and warmth.

In this age of national promotion, how to reduce the price gracefully?

Today, the author wants to analyze the phenomenon of price reduction promotion in detail, hoping to answer three questions: what kind of goods are effective in price reduction? What are the effects of price reduction? How to effectively reduce the price without appearing Low?

Price reduction is perhaps one of the most frequently used words in our daily life.

  • Taobao, Tmall’s store is doing price reduction promotion;
  • The supermarket in the shopping center next to the company is cutting prices;
  • The gift package of playing mobile games is reducing the price;
  • Buy a video website member, bike-sharing monthly card is reducing the price;
  • Even a lot of luxury accessories are promoted on Mr. Porter.

And we ourselves, as consumers surrounded by crazy bees, waves and butterflies, sometimes feel speechless about our behavior. Sometimes we see the price reduction products just like our long-lost brothers, and sometimes we see a lot of information about price reduction, but there is no wave at all in quiet inside.

What factors are influencing our sensitivity to price reduction information?

Today, I want to analyze the ubiquitous phenomenon of price reduction promotion with you in detail, hoping to answer three questions:

  1. What kind of commodity price reduction is effective?
  2. What are the effects of price reduction?
  3. How to effectively reduce the price without appearing Low?

Let’s imagine a scene first:

If you are walking in the street on a sunny summer day. Suddenly, I saw a figure coming at me. It was the opposite sex with clean clothes and good figure, but I couldn’t see my face clearly because of the distance.

At this time, most people will think: "This little sister/brother must be beautiful/handsome", and even a template of a beautiful face has appeared in their minds. Even though the appearance of the opposite sex in the distance is very general, at this moment, weWill look on the bright side first.

The reason why we think like this is related to a concept in social psychology.Psychological Distance (psychological distance)Related.

Psychological distance can be understood as our perception of the environment and things. For things that are strange, far from our physical distance, or long in time dimension, we all have a long psychological distance. On the contrary, we tend to get close psychological distance for familiar things with close physical distance or recent time.

A large number of studies show that: forFar psychological distanceHuman beings tend to think about its benefits. For things that are close to psychological distance, we will think more about its cost.

Therefore, when we are in a hazy state about the distant opposite sex, we tend to imagine that her appearance is attractive. This is also the main reason for the "back killer" and the "seeing death" of online dating.

Whether you only see the back of the opposite sex or communicate through the internet, the far psychological distance brings you imagination in a good direction.

When a couple begins to fall in love for a period of time, and the psychological distance is close, they will begin to pay attention to each other’s advantages (that is, the benefits gained from this relationship) to their shortcomings (costs), which is also a personal experience that many of us will have.

Back to the theme, the action of reducing the price, in the final analysis, is to tell consumers that you canAt a lower costTo get a profit. And the theory of psychological distance tells us:When consumers are psychologically far away from a commodity, they will not care about the cost at all.

Therefore,To be effective, price reduction promotion must have established a sense of value in consumers’ minds.As for how to build a sense of value for commodities, I can use a separate space in future articles, so I won’t start here.

But for many marketers, the more urgent problem to be solved is:

"What if my products haven’t had time to establish a sense of value, but they have to cut prices and rush sales because of the need of the capital chain?"

Here’s a way for everyone, that is-Quickly set up a value anchor to build a temporary sense of value..

In the previous article, I once told you the concept of value anchor, that is, we always find some known reference objects in our hearts when measuring the value of a thing. Therefore, we canArtificially create reference objects to quickly establish a sense of value..

Side-by-side anchoring is a common practice in the retail industry. Specifically, it is to put two goods with similar functions, capacity and appearance, but with similar prices side by side.

In this way, customers will feel that it is cost-effective to buy the low-priced one, because their judgment on the value of this commodity has been influenced by the high-priced one.

In addition to the same type of goods as the value anchor, you can also let the price of goods at other time points as the anchor, the most typical is the original price and special price.

In this case, the calibrated original price will become the maximum value anchor of the commodity. Consumers will consider the special price as "this product is worth so much money".

Another operation is to make "being selected and bought by most people" as the biggest value anchor. When we shop on Taobao, we will subconsciously look at the number of comments and monthly sales.

The principle is that for the limbic system area of our brain, being selected by many people is equal to safety. This set of value choices is particularly important in the life of primitive tribes. For example, plants that have been eaten by many people are definitely non-toxic.

It is precisely because our brain has such a mechanism of filtering information and saving thinking energy that being chosen by many people often becomes a great source of value.

These practices are also common in transactional e-commerce, but this rapidly established sense of value can easily be diluted. If consumers shop in high cognitive mode, it will be easy to eliminate this short-lived sense of value by comparing other goods of the same type.

In the final analysis, building a real sense of value is the right way to accumulate long-term sales.

The role of price reduction is not only to rush sales. Many times, our understanding of price reduction only stays in a simple logic-when the price comes down, sales will go up, which is the demand curve of economics.

In fact, the role of price reduction is not just to increase sales. Here I will introduce the Product Life Cycle Model in marketing, and I will share it with you.What role can price reduction play in different stages of product life cycle?.

The product life cycle is mainly divided into four stages-introduction period, growth period, maturity period and decline period. Let’s take a look at the role of price reduction as the product life cycle goes on.

The scope of application of this period is the stage when the product has just been launched. At this time, the accumulation of user pool is small, and consumers’ sense of value of the product is not high. In fact, I don’t recommend you to do price reduction promotion at this time, because the reason has been mentioned in the last paragraph.

If you really want to do it, use the three methods mentioned above. But remember, it is difficult to accumulate a short sense of value to truly valuable users.

In the growing period of product life cycle, potential customers have a certain sense of value for our products. They may have heard about our products from friends, or they may be interested in the exposure of other marketing platforms. In short, more potential consumers have demand for products.

To achieve rapid growth at this time, it is necessary to reduce the concerns of potential customers, that is,Trial and error cost.

For example, there is a hole in front of the monkey, and we have successfully convinced them that there are bananas in the hole. Then we just need to make the monkey feel that the hole is not deep and will not fall.

In my previous article, I talked about the concept of perceived cost, that is, besides money, time and energy are also part of perceived cost. Price reduction can actually reduce these three types of perceived costs in different ways.

  1. Money cost:This is the most direct way to make consumers feel that "it is just cheap to buy now". I have seen a very successful case of price reduction before, that is, a membership system with fees, which launched an activity of reducing the price by 50% one day, then rising by 10% every day, and restoring the original price five days later. The output of this activity was so successful that many potential consumers who were still hesitating immediately placed orders.
  2. Time cost:The concept of this method is that the product manufacturer transforms the cost of money into the time cost that consumers feel. For example, if an online shop delivers goods, it will upgrade the slow delivery express to SF Express for free, so that consumers can receive the goods on the same day. Or a hotel provides customers with free airport shuttle service, which are all ways to reduce the time cost perceived by consumers.
  3. Energy cost:This method is to make consumers think about choosing goods without spending too much attention. The most typical thing is to give a price reduction when everyone in the whole category does not reduce the price. At this time, when consumers have the demand for this category, they can basically place an order without considering it.

If the biggest concern of consumers is the quality problem, such as the material problem of BB car or the limit problem of food, then returning goods for free without reason will be the best way to save energy.

In short, in the growth period, we shouldAnalyze the biggest concern of potential customers not to buy, and then eliminate that concern by making profits at cost..

When you reach the maturity of the goods, you basically have to go all out to sell them. Use it at this timeQuantity-related pricing methods will be more effective.For example, give a big discount if you buy enough, or share it with multiple friends for bargaining.

This period is generally not short, but it should be noted that the price reduction must be rhythmic and cannot last too long. The reason for this is that human genes determine that we are sensitive to change, but when the change becomes normal, we have no feeling.

What’s even more frightening is this.The sense of detachment caused by the sudden disappearance of positive changes will minimize our impression of related things.

For example:

If your boss tells you that starting today, you will be given a monthly salary as a bonus temporarily, you will be very happy, but this happiness will only last for a few weeks at most, and then you will get used to it.

A few months later, the boss said that this month’s bonus was gone, and there will be no bonus in the future. Not only is the pain caused by this loss far greater than the original happiness (because human beings suffer more from losses of the same magnitude than the happiness of gains), but you will hate your boss and this company and feel that they have exploited you.

Blindly reducing the price for a long time will hurt the brand value and it will be difficult to support the recovery of the original price in the future. This is also the case that many commodities in the retail industry can never return to their original prices once they are reduced in price.

Therefore, the price reduction of products should have a certain rhythm, which is reflected in:

Don’t let consumers think that you cut the price just to throw the goods to them in a hurry.

How to do this will be described in detail in the third part of this article.

The sense of commodity value in recession is not as strong as in previous stages. Generally, at this time, the enterprise has planned to reactivate the market with other newly launched products, but the old goods usually still have the problem of inventory backlog.

If it is for the development of APP or service paying members, enterprises need to consider how to transform the consumers of the original products into the user pool of new products. At this time, old goods actually shoulder a mission. For physical retail stores and online retail stores, the purpose of price reduction promotion is to let more people step in or click into the store.

For service businesses, the purpose of reducing the price of the old business is to let more people know and be interested in the new service. Simply put, it’s alldrainage.

For drainage, the author described it in detail in a previous article, and interested readers can find out: we often talk about drainage, what are we talking about?

Now we put the drainage on the premise of price reduction and promotion, and we will find that: in fact, the premise of maximizing the price reduction and drainage isPurposefully connect old goods with new goods, and increase the exposure and sense of value of credit goods..

I have seen that many retailers want to use price reduction as a drainage, but because of the lack of purpose, the final result is just to let customers enter the store to buy goods at reduced prices and then check out.

If you ask these retailers how to sell more other goods at lower prices, their answer will be:

Try to keep customers in the store for a while.

The subtext is that the drainage product is only responsible for guiding customers into the store, and then we try to give a lot of other information.

Why is this usually not effective enough? You can recall the cognitive model theory I mentioned before. When customers want to enter the store to buy promotional items, they areIn the low cognitive mode, their only purpose is to get the goods at a reduced price quickly and finish the task.. At this time, it is often difficult to attract attention by giving too much messy information. So you have to find one.The destination goods are attached to the information..

For example, if a box of masks is used as a drainage product, then a better way is to bundle the mask with the new skin care products (such as toner and makeup remover) that need to be promoted.

If it’s a service charge, it’s best to sell old services at a reduced price and send new services for trial at the same time, in order to encourage users to download and install and try new services.

In short, whether it is drainage or bundled sales, it is necessary to give customers a feeling that "I have already bought cheap goods, so I can try new products".

In the above, we mentioned that when we rush to sell products at the mature stage, we need to keep the pace and not always reduce the price. Here I will give you an analysis of how to do this rhythm well.

For consumers, the worst perception of price reduction is:

"Where there is such a good business in the world that makes profits for no reason, there must be something fishy."

Nowadays, the lower the price of many goods, the less people buy them, just because consumers don’t have them.Perceive the reason for price reduction. Therefore, as a merchant, the best relationship with consumers in the category of price reduction is the sense of feedback. To put it bluntly, it means "I want to give back to you for a special reason, so I reduced the price."

In fact, in principle, this is related to the attribution theory in psychology.

Psychologists once did an experiment to make an office printer queue up to print, and at this time an experimenter cut in line.

Scenario one is that the experimenter cuts in line without saying anything; Scenario 2 is that when the experimenter cuts in line, he will say "Hello, please let me print first, because I am in a hurry".

The result of the experiment is that the probability that the subjects are willing to be cut in line in scenario 2 is more than doubled. However, in fact, if we re-examine, the experimenter’s statement "Because I am in a hurry" doesn’t have any substance, but because he gives a reason that seems to be the reason, people are more willing to make profits.

The implication here is that when we ask others to do something, if we can give a reason (although it may be boring), the will of others will increase greatly.

So what we have to do when we reduce the price is to provide consumers with a reason, or particularity. This will ensure that businesses give consumers a reason and consumers give themselves a reason to shop. ("It’s not that I don’t want to chop my hands, but it’s just XX now, so I don’t buy it for nothing")

Now, we will think about what particularity can be used as a reason to give back to consumers when they shop.

"Because you are special, we want to give back to you."

Membership is the most commonly used way to reduce prices. Whether it’s a big supermarket like Sam member store or Metro, or a restaurant APP or game, it’s a good reason to give members a discount.

It should be noted that besides membership, other identities can be created. For example, they all belong to a certain constellation, or even exceed a certain height, or even it is reported recently that a Marvel Comics diehard fan in the United States has watched Avengers 3 for more than 50 times, which is a good opportunity to create a special consumer identity.

"Because now is a special moment, I want to give back to you."

We are most familiar with the recent rise of 618, double 11, Double 12 and so on. In addition, there are celebrations of various physical stores and linkage activities of games.

There are two kinds of special time: tradition and man-made.

  • Traditions are various festivals, such as Thanksgiving Day and Mother’s Day.
  • Man-made is the activity of the above-mentioned e-commerce platform, or its own store celebration and opening.

One thing to note here is that for small platforms or small businesses, it is best to be natural or external at a special time, which is the so-called heat. For example, a physical store also participates in Double 12 activities, or a retail store celebrates Thanksgiving. Generally speaking, only the time particularity created by the big platform is more convincing, that is, it is truly special.

"Because you are here, I want to give back to you."

The particularity of place category is relatively less used by everyone. For example, knowing that there have been several days of heavy rains in Zhejiang Province, a supermarket chain decided to give 20% discount on rain gear in all stores in Zhejiang Province. Or a newly opened shopping center, where all the stores have a 20% discount.

"Because this product you bought is special, I want to give it back to you."

For example, we all know that parents will prepare schoolbags and stationery for their children when they are ready to start school in August. These goods can be reduced in price at this time.

Or when consumers buy baby milk powder, they can reduce the price of pacifiers and bottles at the same time, because these are things that babies can use, and it is not easy to be a novice mother.

"Because there is not much stock left in this commodity, I want to give it back to you."

This kind of scene most often happens in clothes, shoes and other stylish goods that need personalization. Usually, because the remaining inventory of goods is only suitable for some people, such as clothes that are too big or shoes that are too small, merchants will cut prices and clean up the tail goods.

"Because you bought it through this channel, I want to give it back to you."

Outlets is a typical special sales channel for price reduction, because consumers go to the factory store to buy it, so the price reduction is preferential. Or for service goods, because consumers download apps or register members from a certain channel, they are given price concessions.

Channel particularity usually needs to be linked with business strategy, and at the same time aschannel promotionA means of.

Another extension of the special sales channel is the special payment method. Now many merchants will reduce the price of consumers who use a certain payment method (such as cloud payment). If you want to cut prices, you can take this opportunity to further increase the depth of price reduction.

"Because it happens to be you, I want to give back to you."

Randomness is attributed to luck. For example, getting a lucky roulette wheel, or randomly drawing cards, is essentially a random selection of price reduction targets.

This way is basically unaffected by time and place, and the drawn consumers are basically willing to spend. However, it should be noted that only this random probability is not equal to 100%, which is a good special reason.

"Because of your efforts, I want to give back to you."

The essence of this reason for price reduction is that when we have paid (time and energy) for something, we will have a sense of control over it, and our evaluation of things that we have a sense of control will usually increase subjectively.

For example, when a seller sells a house, his valuation is always higher than that of the buyer. One of the reasons for this is that he thinks that the sense of control over the house increases the perceived value.

Therefore, if you want to reduce the price of a commodity well, it is best to let consumers pay for this price. For example, consumers need to snap up a limited number of goods at reduced prices on the hour, or collect cards and prints for a long time to get reduced prices, or even play some small games to get reduced prices.

Today, I have slightly summarized some basic analysis about the behavior of price reduction, mainly including:

  1. It is hooliganism to reduce the price of goods that have no sense of value, but to play hooliganism well, try to give your goods a temporary sense of value by anchoring value;
  2. Price reduction plays different roles in different stages of the product life cycle. Identify the stage of your product and understand what is affecting consumers’ purchase at the current stage to avoid blind price reduction.
  3. In order to maintain the sense of brand and product value, price reduction must be rhythmic. Through identity, time, place, goods, inventory, sales channels, randomness and attribution, the price can be reduced more elegantly.

 

Author: Mr. Ha, WeChat WeChat official account: Mr. Ha (ID: yuanwai-he)

This article was originally published by Mr. @ He. Everyone is a product manager. Reprinting is prohibited without permission.

The title map comes from Unsplash and is based on CC0 protocol.